Ukraine Conflict Monitor – Introduction


The Ukraine Conflict Monitor (UCM) provides in-depth and comprehensive coverage of the ongoing war in Ukraine. We initially set up the UCM to fill a gap in high-quality OSINT reporting on Russian military preparations, the movement of troops, the order of battle, and everything that pertained to preparations to attack Ukraine. Indeed, from late November 2022, our baseline scenario was that Russia would invade Ukraine. Throughout the build-up phase, we tracked Russian troop deployments and assessed the probability of an attack.

The UCM provided five updates a week. One of these updates includes a weekly summary, which takes a broader perspective on the current state of the war. The remaining four issues provide daily analyses.

Each issue also provides information about the military situation in Belarus and the Russian presence therein. You will also gain access to a ScribbleMap that depicts the current frontline, locations of Russian artillery strikes (city- village-level location), and locations of Russian fortifications (in Russia and in Ukraine), among other things.

Within UCM, we also publish satellite imagery analyses of various areas in Russia and Belarus. However, our access to satellite data is very weather-contingent. There are weeks when there are no images, but there are also weeks when we publish analyses of several different sites, such as air bases, training ranges, air defence sites and so on. We also track aircraft changes in the number of aircraft deployed at key air bases in Western Russia, including those used by long-range aviation.

For information, we rely on social media posts, IMINT, press reports, and our wide range of contributors and analysts closely monitoring the war. I hope you will join us in this project. We are always open to any suggestions, so if you think there is something you would like us to cover or change, don’t hesitate to get in touch with us at:

A monthly fee to access the Monitor is USD24.59. We do not offer longer subscriptions at this stage. If you wish to register, please click here.

We also offer only weekly updates, which are available for USD6.14 monthly. You can see what such an update offers by clicking here.

If you have any questions, please drop us a note.

Konrad Muzyka