Author Archives for kmrochan

Issue 21_2, 8 March 2022

March 8, 2022 11:39 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

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Issue 21_1, 8 March 2022

March 8, 2022 12:05 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

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Issue 20_2, 7 March 2022

March 7, 2022 11:39 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

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Issue 20_1, 7 March 2022

March 7, 2022 12:04 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

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Issue 19, 6 March 2022

March 6, 2022 10:54 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

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Issue 18, 5 March 2022

March 5, 2022 11:07 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

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Issue 17_2, 4 March 2022

March 4, 2022 11:58 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

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Issue 17_1, 4 March 2022

March 4, 2022 1:06 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

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Issue 16_2, 3 March 2022

March 4, 2022 12:05 am Published by kmrochan Comments Off

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Issue 16_1, 3 March 2022

March 3, 2022 12:47 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

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Issue 15, 2 March 2022

March 2, 2022 11:29 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

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Issue 14, 1 March 2022 (Free access)

March 2, 2022 12:13 am Published by kmrochan Comments Off

Please click here to download a pdf of this issue. Situational report Shift in operations...

Issue 13_2, 28 February 2022

February 28, 2022 9:55 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

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Issue 13_1, 28 February 2022

February 28, 2022 11:09 am Published by kmrochan Comments Off

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Issue 12, 27 February 2022

February 27, 2022 11:43 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

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Issue 11_2, 26 February 2022

February 26, 2022 11:46 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

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Issue 11_1, 26 February 2022

February 26, 2022 10:19 am Published by kmrochan Comments Off

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Issue 10_2, 25 February 2022

February 25, 2022 10:29 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

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Issue 10_1, 25 February 2022

February 25, 2022 11:40 am Published by kmrochan Comments Off

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Issue 9_2, 24 February 2022

February 24, 2022 11:32 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

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Issue 9_1, 24 February 2022

February 24, 2022 11:07 am Published by kmrochan Comments Off

Situational report I will now do my best now to provide updates twice a day...

Issue 8, 23 February 2022

February 23, 2022 1:06 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

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Issue 7, 22 February 2022

February 22, 2022 1:10 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

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Issue 6, 21 February 2022

February 21, 2022 12:09 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

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Issue 5, 19 February 2022

February 19, 2022 10:10 am Published by kmrochan Comments Off

Please click here to download today’s issue as a pdf. Today’s issue will look at...

Issue 4, 18 February 2022

February 18, 2022 1:15 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

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Issue 3, 17 February 2022

February 17, 2022 10:59 am Published by kmrochan Comments Off

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Issue 2, 16 February 2022

February 16, 2022 10:51 am Published by kmrochan Comments Off

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Ukraine Conflict Monitor – Introduction

February 15, 2022 10:05 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

FOR FREE ACCESS ISSUES, PLEASE CLICK HERE, HERE, HERE, HERE and HERE The Ukraine Conflict Monitor (UCM) provides...

Issue 1, 13 February 2022 (Free access)

February 13, 2022 11:10 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

Situational report Introduction issue to the Ukraine Conflict Monitor. We are now in the middle...

IMINT Analysis: Russian forces near Ukraine

December 24, 2021 9:39 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

Here is another installment of IMINT analysis where I look at Russian forces near (and not so near) Ukraine.

IMINT Analysis – 56th Air Assault Regiment, Feodosia, Crimea

December 13, 2021 12:58 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

In March 2021 the Russian Minister of Defence, Sergei Shoigu announced that the Kamyshin-based 56th...

The Map – The Ukrainian Military Intelligence

November 26, 2021 3:08 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

A few days ago, the Ukrainian Military Intelligence released a map of Russians BTGs building...

The build-up

November 24, 2021 10:59 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

More than three weeks ago I wrote a short post on this blog about the...

Tracking Russian deployments near Ukraine – Autumn-Winter 2021-22

November 15, 2021 2:39 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

The purpose of this blog post is to provide an up-to-date order of battle data...

Yelnya Barracks – Analysing Maxar’s image

November 2, 2021 9:48 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

Yesterday Maxar released images of the camp and barracks at Yelnya. Here are several observations...

Russian land forces’ movements in October

October 31, 2021 11:25 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

There has been an increased number of reports about the current (perceived) Russian Armed Forces...

Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 15 (Unit numbers)

September 22, 2021 1:21 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

Here comes another post about Zapad co-written with my good colleague Obronny. In days leading...

Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 14 (An airborne exercise)

September 17, 2021 1:06 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

First things first, many thanks to Colonel (rtd) Ireneusz Kulesza for this help in analysing...

Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 13 (THE Map)

September 10, 2021 10:47 am Published by kmrochan Comments Off

Guest post by Obronny. Yesterday the Belarusian news portal, Smartpress, released a news report with...

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Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 12 (The Active Phase)

September 9, 2021 10:47 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

The analysis of Zapad is moving to Michael Kofman’s blog. There we will provide daily...

Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 11 (Zapad in IMINT)

September 8, 2021 12:37 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

The third iteration of our ‘Zapad in IMINT’ series looks at three sites: The Baranovichi...

Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 10 (Reserve)

September 4, 2021 10:05 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

As reservists were being called up in support of Zapad, between 18 and 28 August...

Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 9 (Logistics)

September 3, 2021 12:31 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

Today’s post will discuss a logistics exercise, which occurred at the Vyborg port on 24...

Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 8 (Opposing forces)

August 24, 2021 1:26 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

Today’s entry is based on Obronny’s Twitter post. Zapad-2017 and conditional enemies As you may...

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Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 7 (Manpower)

August 23, 2021 12:17 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

On 20 August the First Deputy Head of the Main Directorate of International Military Cooperation...

Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 6 (Zapad in IMINT)

August 20, 2021 8:46 am Published by kmrochan Comments Off

As information about unit movements in support of ‘Zapad’ is scarce, we have launched an...

Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 5 (Belarusian units in Russia)

August 18, 2021 9:21 am Published by kmrochan Comments Off

“Tell me lies, tell me sweet little lies”, part 2 This will be a long...

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Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 4 (Belarusian CDS presser)

August 5, 2021 4:45 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

“Tell me lies, tell me sweet little lies” Today the Belarusian Chief of Defence Staff...

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Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – ORBAT

August 2, 2021 10:33 am Published by kmrochan Comments Off

The purpose of this blog post is to provide an up-to-date order of battle data...

Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 3 (First deployments into Belarus)

July 26, 2021 10:00 am Published by kmrochan Comments Off

It is time for another update on Zapad preparations. (In all fairness, there were numerous...

IMINT Analysis – 39th Helicopter Regiment, Dzhankoy Air Base – Crimea

April 8, 2021 10:07 am Published by kmrochan Comments Off

Russian 4th Air and Air Defence Army (HQ Rostov-on-Don) controls three aviation regiments in Crimea....

18th Motor Rifle Division – the Kaliningrad Oblast

February 16, 2021 12:24 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

A couple of weeks ago Izvestia (and then the CAST’s blog) reported on the composition...

Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 2 (Date confirmed)

January 19, 2021 11:17 am Published by kmrochan Comments Off

On 18 January 2021, the Belarusian MoD reported that the joint Russo-Belarusian strategic-operational exercise, Zapad-2021,...

Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 1

October 30, 2020 2:53 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

In August or September 2021, Russia and its ally, Belarus, will conduct its quadrennial Zapad-21...

Slavic Brotherhood – Day by day developments

September 28, 2020 11:06 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

Although the Slavic Brotherhood ended on Friday, I thought it would be useful to prepare...

<img alt="" data-srcset="https://rochan-consulting.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/dfe64008994f3232d4ba5ba54e650c91-150x150.png 150w, https://rochan-consulting.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/dfe64008994f3232d4ba5ba54e650c91-350x350.png 350w" data-src="https://rochan-consulting.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/dfe64008994f3232d4ba5ba54e650c91-150x150.png" data-sizes="(max-width: 120px) 100vw, 120px" class="attachment-120x120 size-120x120 wp-post-image lazyload" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw==" /><noscript><img alt="" data-srcset="https://rochan-consulting.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/dfe64008994f3232d4ba5ba54e650c91-150x150.png 150w, https://rochan-consulting.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/dfe64008994f3232d4ba5ba54e650c91-350x350.png 350w" data-src="https://rochan-consulting.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/dfe64008994f3232d4ba5ba54e650c91-150x150.png" data-sizes="(max-width: 120px) 100vw, 120px" class="attachment-120x120 size-120x120 wp-post-image lazyload" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw==" /><noscript><img alt="" data-srcset="https://rochan-consulting.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/dfe64008994f3232d4ba5ba54e650c91-150x150.png 150w, https://rochan-consulting.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/dfe64008994f3232d4ba5ba54e650c91-350x350.png 350w" data-src="https://rochan-consulting.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/dfe64008994f3232d4ba5ba54e650c91-150x150.png" data-sizes="(max-width: 120px) 100vw, 120px" class="attachment-120x120 size-120x120 wp-post-image lazyload" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw==" /><noscript><img src="https://rochan-consulting.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/dfe64008994f3232d4ba5ba54e650c91-150x150.png" class="attachment-120x120 size-120x120 wp-post-image" alt="" srcset="https://rochan-consulting.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/dfe64008994f3232d4ba5ba54e650c91-150x150.png 150w, https://rochan-consulting.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/dfe64008994f3232d4ba5ba54e650c91-350x350.png 350w" sizes="(max-width: 120px) 100vw, 120px" />

Endgame? Russia to deepen military co-operation with Belarus

September 16, 2020 12:55 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

For many years Russia has been pushing Belarus to deepen military co-operation, even though both...

IMINT Analysis – Grodno Training Range

August 27, 2020 10:10 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

In response to the growing threat from NATO and possible interference in Belarusian domestic affairs,...

Mobilisation of the Belarusian Armed Forces

August 25, 2020 1:28 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

According to Belarusian MoD press releases from recent days, the armed forces are going through...

Why Russia will not deploy into Belarus (for now)

August 19, 2020 12:08 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

In the last few days, reports started surfacing on Twitter showing the alleged movement of...

Smerch from Kaliningrad

April 1, 2020 10:26 am Published by kmrochan Comments Off

On 29th March the Russian daily newspaper, Izvestia, reported that the Kaliningrad-based 244th Artillery Brigade...

Kaliningrad’s 2S19M1 SPHs land in a tank regiment

March 5, 2020 1:18 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

During the May 2019 Victory Day parade in Kaliningrad, the locally-based armed forces showcased the...

2019 marked the lowest combat aircraft delivery rate to VKS since 2008.

January 19, 2020 1:09 pm Published by kmrochan Comments Off

Last year the Russian Air Force received just 14 combat aircraft to its frontline units,...

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