Impressions from the field research trip to Ukraine – October 2025
November 14, 2025 9:59 pm Leave your thoughtsAlmost two weeks ago, I returned from another field research trip to Ukraine. Below are...
Author Archives for kmrochan
Issue No 25 (25) 2025 – 22OCT – 11NOV 2025
November 14, 2025 9:43 pm Leave your thoughtsExecutive Summary The period under review marked a decisive strategic inflexion in the war. Russia...
Issue No 24 (24) 2025 – 15 – 21OCT2025
November 14, 2025 9:39 pm Leave your thoughtsExecutive Summary The reporting period (15–20 October 2025) reflected a further consolidation of Russia’s autumn...
Issue No 23 (23) 2025 – 08 – 14OCT2025
November 14, 2025 9:26 pm Leave your thoughtsExecutive Summary The reporting period (08–14 October 2025) reaffirmed the attritional and endurance-based nature of...
Issue No 22 (22) 2025 – 01 – 07OCT2025
November 14, 2025 9:16 pm Leave your thoughtsExecutive Summary The reporting period 01–07 OCT 2025 further underscored the attritional and endurance-based character...
Issue No 21 (21) 2025 – 22SEP – 30SEP2025
November 14, 2025 9:13 pm Leave your thoughtsExecutive Summary The reporting period 22–30SEP2025 reinforced the attritional nature of the conflict in Ukraine,...
Issue No 20 (20) 2025 – 15SEP –23SEP2025
November 14, 2025 9:09 pm Leave your thoughtsExecutive Summary The reporting period of 15–23SEP2025 reflects the entrenched attritional dynamics of the war...
Issue No 19 (19) 2025 – 08SEP – 16SEP2025
November 14, 2025 9:06 pm Leave your thoughtsExecutive Summary The reporting period of 08–14SEP2025 reinforced the entrenched dynamics of a war of...
Issue No 18 (18) 2025 – 25AUG – 02SEP2025
November 14, 2025 9:01 pm Leave your thoughtsExecutive Summary The reporting period (01–09SEP2025) underscored the widening divergence between battlefield dynamics in Ukraine,...
Issue No 17 (17) 2025 – 25AUG – 02SEP2025
November 14, 2025 8:59 pm Leave your thoughtsExecutive Summary Between 25–31AUG, the war in Ukraine remained defined by high-intensity attritional fighting, particularly...
Issue No 16 (16) 2025 – 18 – 26AUG2025
November 14, 2025 8:54 pm Leave your thoughtsExecutive Summary The 18–26 AUG reporting period was characterised by sustained high-intensity attrition, with Russian...
Issue No 15 (15) 2025 – 11 – 19AUG2025
November 14, 2025 8:45 pm Leave your thoughtsExecutive Summary The reporting period was marked by an intensification of Russian offensive activity across...
Issue No 14 (14) 2025 – 04 – 12AUG2025
November 14, 2025 8:43 pm Leave your thoughtsExecutive Summary The reporting period saw a further consolidation of attritional dynamics across the Ukrainian...
Issue No 13 (13) 2025 – 28JUL – 05AUG2025
November 14, 2025 8:41 pm Leave your thoughtsExecutive Summary The reporting period of 28JUL–05AUG2025 underscored intensifying attritional dynamics in Ukraine, with Russian...
Issue No 12 (12) 2025 – 21JUL-29JUL2025
November 14, 2025 8:36 pm Leave your thoughtsExecutive Summary The reporting period was marked by intensified attritional warfare in eastern Ukraine, heightened...
Issue No 11 (11) 2025 – 02JUL-20JUL2025
November 14, 2025 8:30 pm Leave your thoughtsExecutive Summary The 01–20JUL2025 reporting period was characterised by intensifying attritional warfare in Ukraine, deepening...
Issue No 10 (10) 2025 – 25JUN-01JUL2025
November 14, 2025 8:24 pm Leave your thoughtsExecutive Summary Between 23 and 30 June 2025, Ukraine’s defence effort was defined by sustained...
Issue No 9 (9) 2025 – 18JUN-24JUN2025
November 14, 2025 8:19 pm Leave your thoughtsExecutive Summary Between 18–24JUN2025, the war in Ukraine remained defined by high-intensity attritional combat, with...
Issue No 8 (8) 2025 – 11JUN-17JUN2025
November 14, 2025 8:16 pm Leave your thoughtsExecutive Summary Russian forces continue to maintain offensive pressure across multiple axes, achieving incremental territorial...
Issue No 7 (7) 2025 – 04JUN-10JUN2025
June 12, 2025 11:33 am Comments Off on Issue No 7 (7) 2025 – 04JUN-10JUN2025Executive Summary The war in Ukraine remains attritional but dynamic. Ukraine’s long-range drone strike—Operation Spiderweb—destroyed...
Issue No 6 (6) 2025 – 28MAY-03JUN2025
June 12, 2025 11:29 am Comments Off on Issue No 6 (6) 2025 – 28MAY-03JUN2025Executive Summary Ukraine has demonstrated significant operational innovation and resilience. Its forces conducted deep-reaching drone...
Issue 353, 23 March – 29 March 2024
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Belarus Security Update – 18 – 24 March 2024
March 25, 2024 11:18 pm Comments Off on Belarus Security Update – 18 – 24 March 2024BLUF The Belarusian Armed Forces’ overall stance remained unchanged last week. Nonetheless, elements of a...
UCM to be discontinued
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Issue 352, 16 March – 22 March 2024
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Belarus Security Update – 11 – 17 March 2024
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Issue 351, 09 March – 15 March 2024
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Belarus Security Update – 04 March – 10 March 2024
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Issue 350, 02 March – 08 March 2024
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Belarus Security Update – 19 February – 25 February 2024
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Issue 349, 17 February – 23 February 2024
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Belarus Security Update – 12 – 18 February 2024
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Raport VI – Russian Options in the Luhansk Direction (Free access)
February 19, 2024 11:19 am Comments Off on Raport VI – Russian Options in the Luhansk Direction (Free access)In September 2023, we were asked to produce a report on possible Russian movements in...
Issue 348, 10 February – 16 February 2024
February 18, 2024 12:18 pm Comments Off on Issue 348, 10 February – 16 February 2024Situational report from the war in Ukraine Key takeaways from last week’s developments: Russian ground...
Issue 347, 03 February – 09 February 2024
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Belarus Security Update – 29 January – 04 February 2024
February 7, 2024 11:53 am Comments Off on Belarus Security Update – 29 January – 04 February 2024BLUF Last week, the posture of the Belarusian Armed Forces did not change. Executive summary...
Issue 346, 27 January – 02 February 2024
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Belarus Security Update – 22 – 28 January 2024
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Issue 345, 20 January – 26 January 2024
January 27, 2024 10:51 pm Comments Off on Issue 345, 20 January – 26 January 2024Situational report from the war in Ukraine Key takeaways from last week’s developments: Although last...
Issue 344, 13 January – 19 January 2024
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Belarus Security Update – 08 – 14 January 2024
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Issue 343, 06 January – 12 January 2024
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Belarus Security Update – 01 – 07 January 2024
January 8, 2024 9:53 pm Comments Off on Belarus Security Update – 01 – 07 January 2024A summary of key political-military events in Belarus BLUF The Belarusian Armed Forces did not...
Ukraine Conflict Monitor – Accountability and credibility
January 5, 2024 10:20 am Comments Off on Ukraine Conflict Monitor – Accountability and credibilityAssessing our analytical performance in 2023 This week’s post will be different as there is...
Belarus Security Update – 25 – 31 December 2023
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Issue 342, 23 December – 29 December 2023 (Weekly update)
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Issue 341, 16 December – 22 December 2023 (Weekly update)
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Northern Fleet Military Digest – Issue 10 – 11 – 17 December 2023
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Issue 19 – 11 – 17 December 2023
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Belarus Security Update – 11 – 17 December 2023
December 18, 2023 11:22 am Comments Off on Belarus Security Update – 11 – 17 December 2023BLUF No changes in the general posture of the Belarusian Armed Forces appeared last week....
Issue 340, 09 December – 15 December 2023 (Weekly update)
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Northern Fleet Military Digest – Issue 9 – 04 – 10 December 2023
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Issue 18 – 04 – 10 December 2023
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Belarus Security Update – 04 December – 10 December 2023
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Issue 339, 02 December – 08 December 2023 (Weekly update)
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Northern Fleet Military Digest – Issue 8 – 27 November – 03 December 2023
December 5, 2023 10:25 am Comments Off on Northern Fleet Military Digest – Issue 8 – 27 November – 03 December 2023Key takeaways from last week’s developments The Northern Fleet began the winter training period; Yasen-M-class...
Issue 17 – 20 November – 26 November 2023
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Northern Fleet Military Digest – Issue 7 – 20 – 26 November 2023
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Issue 16 – 20 November – 26 November 2023
December 4, 2023 11:00 am Comments Off on Issue 16 – 20 November – 26 November 2023This content is restricted to subscribers. Please LOGIN to Your membership account to view...
Belarus Security Update – 27 November – 3 December 2023
December 4, 2023 10:23 am Comments Off on Belarus Security Update – 27 November – 3 December 2023BLUF Last week delivered no major changes regarding the general posture of the Belarusian Armed...
Issue 338, 25 November – 01 December 2023 (Weekly update)
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Issue 337, 18 November – 24 November 2023 (Weekly update)
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Northern Fleet Military Digest – Issue 6 – 13 – 19 November 2023 (Free access)
November 20, 2023 10:43 pm Comments Off on Northern Fleet Military Digest – Issue 6 – 13 – 19 November 2023 (Free access)Key takeaways from last week’s developments Equipment preparations for the winter training period continued to...
Issue 15 – 13 November – 19 November 2023
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Issue 14 – 06 November – 12 November 2023
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Belarus Security Update – 13 – 19 November 2023
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Issue 336, 11 November – 17 November 2023 (Weekly update)
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Issue 13 – 30 October – 05 November 2023
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Issue 335, 28 October – 03 November 2023 (Weekly update)
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Northern Fleet Military Digest – Issue 3 – 23 – 29 October 2023 (Free access)
October 31, 2023 10:32 pm Comments Off on Northern Fleet Military Digest – Issue 3 – 23 – 29 October 2023 (Free access)Key takeaways from last week’s developments Military personnel and equipment preparations for the winter training...
Issue 12 – 23 – 29 October 2023
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Belarus Security Update – 23 October – 29 October 2023
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Issue 334, 21 October – 27 October 2023 (Weekly update)
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Northern Fleet Military Digest – Issue 2 (Free access)
October 25, 2023 10:46 pm Comments Off on Northern Fleet Military Digest – Issue 2 (Free access)As a trial, we would like to share with you our new product called Northern...
Report V – Russian Options in the Donetsk Direction – The Avdiivka axis (Free access)
October 24, 2023 11:02 am Comments Off on Report V – Russian Options in the Donetsk Direction – The Avdiivka axis (Free access)Executive summary Russians have been attempting to breach Ukrainian defensive lines near Avdiivka for the...
Issue 11 – 16 October – 22 October 2023
October 24, 2023 9:39 am Comments Off on Issue 11 – 16 October – 22 October 2023Key takeaways from last week’s developments Military personnel and equipment preparations for the winter training...
Belarus Security Update – 16 October – 22 October 2023
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Issue 333, 14 October – 20 October 2023 (Weekly update)
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Northern Fleet Military Digest – Issue 1
October 18, 2023 1:41 pm Comments Off on Northern Fleet Military Digest – Issue 1As a trial, we would like to share with you our new product called Northern...
Report IV – Ukrainian Options in the Kherson Direction (Free access)
October 18, 2023 11:29 am Comments Off on Report IV – Ukrainian Options in the Kherson Direction (Free access)Executive summary Following the destruction of the hydroelectric power station in Nova Kakhovka on 6JUN2023,...
Belarus Security Update – 9 September – 15 October 2023
October 17, 2023 10:34 am Comments Off on Belarus Security Update – 9 September – 15 October 2023BLUF Last week brought no changes regarding the general posture of the Belarusian Armed Forces....
Issue 332, 7 October – 13 October 2023 (Weekly update)
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Issue 10 – 9 October – 15 October 2023
October 17, 2023 10:00 am Comments Off on Issue 10 – 9 October – 15 October 2023Key takeaways from last week’s developments Baltic Fleet verified the level of training and combat...
Issue 9 – 2 October – 8 October 2023
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Belarus Security Update – 2 September – 8 October 2023
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Issue 331, 30 September – 6 October 2023 (Weekly update)
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Issue 8 – 25 September – 1 October 2023
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Belarus Security Update – 25 September – 1 October 2023 (Free access)
October 2, 2023 10:37 am Comments Off on Belarus Security Update – 25 September – 1 October 2023 (Free access)Before the reader dwells into last week’s political-military developments in Belarus, please consider becoming a...
Issue 330, 23 September – 29 September 2023 (Weekly update)
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Issue 7 – 18 September – 24 September 2023
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Report III – Ocean Shield 2023: The Baltic Fleet’s perspective (Free access)
September 24, 2023 10:34 pm Comments Off on Report III – Ocean Shield 2023: The Baltic Fleet’s perspective (Free access)Introduction In August 2023, the Russian Federation’s Baltic Fleet conducted the Ocean Shield naval exercise,...
Issue 329, 16 September – 22 September 2023 (Weekly update)
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Issue 6 – 11 September – 17 September 2023
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Belarus Security Update – 11 September – 17 September 2023
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Issue 328, 09 September – 15 September 2023 (Weekly update)
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Issue 5 – 04 September – 10 September 2023
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Belarus Security Update – 4 September – 10 September 2023
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Report II – Ukraine’s counteroffensive (June-August 2023) – An initial assessment
September 8, 2023 11:31 pm Comments Off on Report II – Ukraine’s counteroffensive (June-August 2023) – An initial assessmentThis report offers our assessment of the battles in Southern Ukraine between early June and...
Ukraine’s counteroffensive (June-August 2023) – An initial assessment
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Issue 4 – 28 August – 3 September 2023
September 4, 2023 11:29 pm Comments Off on Issue 4 – 28 August – 3 September 2023This is the last free issue of Kaliningrad Military Digest. If you are interested in...