Issue 52, 11 April 2022
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Author Archives for kmrochan
Issue 51, 9-10 April 2022
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Issue 50, 8 April 2022
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Issue 49, 7 April 2022
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Issue 48, 6 April 2022
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Issue 47, 5 April 2022 (Free access)
April 6, 2022 11:17 am Comments Off on Issue 47, 5 April 2022 (Free access)Situational report CAO 5APR2022 Key Points Russian units withdrawn from Kyiv/Chernikiv Oblast are being redeployed...
Issue 46, 4 April 2022
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Issue 45, 3 April 2022
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Issue 43, 31 March 2022
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Issue 41, 29 March 2022
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Issue 40, 28 March 2022
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Issue 39, 27 March 2022
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Issue 38, 25 March 2022
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Issue 37, 24 March 2022
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Issue 36, 23 March 2022
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Issue 35, 22 March 2022
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Issue 34, 21 March 2022
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Issue 33, 20 March 2022
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Issue 32, 19 March 2022
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Issue 31, 18 March 2022
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Issue 30, 17 March 2022
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Issue 28, 15 March 2022
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Issue 27, 14 March 2022
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Issue 26, 13 March 2022 (Free access)
March 14, 2022 12:40 am Comments Off on Issue 26, 13 March 2022 (Free access)Please click here to download a pdf of this issue For more information on how...
Issue 25, 12 March 2022
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Issue 24_2, 11 March 2022
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Issue 24_1, 11 March 2022
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Issue 23_2, 10 March 2022
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Issue 23_1, 10 March 2022
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Issue 22_2, 9 March 2022
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Issue 22_1, 9 March 2022
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Issue 21_2, 8 March 2022
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Issue 21_1, 8 March 2022
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Issue 20_2, 7 March 2022
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Issue 20_1, 7 March 2022
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Issue 19, 6 March 2022
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Issue 18, 5 March 2022
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Issue 17_2, 4 March 2022
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Issue 17_1, 4 March 2022
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Issue 16_2, 3 March 2022
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Issue 16_1, 3 March 2022
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Issue 15, 2 March 2022
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Issue 14, 1 March 2022 (Free access)
March 2, 2022 12:13 am Comments Off on Issue 14, 1 March 2022 (Free access)Please click here to download a pdf of this issue. Situational report Shift in operations...
Issue 13_2, 28 February 2022
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Issue 13_1, 28 February 2022
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Issue 12, 27 February 2022
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Issue 11_2, 26 February 2022
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Issue 11_1, 26 February 2022
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Issue 10_2, 25 February 2022
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Issue 10_1, 25 February 2022
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Issue 9_2, 24 February 2022
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Issue 9_1, 24 February 2022
February 24, 2022 11:07 am Comments Off on Issue 9_1, 24 February 2022Situational report I will now do my best now to provide updates twice a day...
Issue 8, 23 February 2022
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Issue 7, 22 February 2022
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Issue 6, 21 February 2022
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Issue 5, 19 February 2022
February 19, 2022 10:10 am Comments Off on Issue 5, 19 February 2022Please click here to download today’s issue as a pdf. Today’s issue will look at...
Issue 4, 18 February 2022
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Issue 3, 17 February 2022
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Issue 2, 16 February 2022
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Ukraine Conflict Monitor – Introduction
February 15, 2022 10:05 pm Comments Off on Ukraine Conflict Monitor – IntroductionThe Ukraine Conflict Monitor (UCM) provides in-depth and comprehensive coverage of the ongoing war in...
Issue 1, 13 February 2022 (Free access)
February 13, 2022 11:10 pm Comments Off on Issue 1, 13 February 2022 (Free access)Situational report Introduction issue to the Ukraine Conflict Monitor. We are now in the middle...
IMINT Analysis: Russian forces near Ukraine
December 24, 2021 9:39 pm Comments Off on IMINT Analysis: Russian forces near UkraineHere is another installment of IMINT analysis where I look at Russian forces near (and not so near) Ukraine.
IMINT Analysis – 56th Air Assault Regiment, Feodosia, Crimea
December 13, 2021 12:58 pm Comments Off on IMINT Analysis – 56th Air Assault Regiment, Feodosia, CrimeaIn March 2021 the Russian Minister of Defence, Sergei Shoigu announced that the Kamyshin-based 56th...
The Map – The Ukrainian Military Intelligence
November 26, 2021 3:08 pm Comments Off on The Map – The Ukrainian Military IntelligenceA few days ago, the Ukrainian Military Intelligence released a map of Russians BTGs building...
The build-up
November 24, 2021 10:59 pm Comments Off on The build-upMore than three weeks ago I wrote a short post on this blog about the...
Tracking Russian deployments near Ukraine – Autumn-Winter 2021-22
November 15, 2021 2:39 pm Comments Off on Tracking Russian deployments near Ukraine – Autumn-Winter 2021-22The purpose of this blog post is to provide an up-to-date order of battle data...
Yelnya Barracks – Analysing Maxar’s image
November 2, 2021 9:48 pm Comments Off on Yelnya Barracks – Analysing Maxar’s imageYesterday Maxar released images of the camp and barracks at Yelnya. Here are several observations...
Russian land forces’ movements in October
October 31, 2021 11:25 pm Comments Off on Russian land forces’ movements in OctoberThere has been an increased number of reports about the current (perceived) Russian Armed Forces...
Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 15 (Unit numbers)
September 22, 2021 1:21 pm Comments Off on Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 15 (Unit numbers)Here comes another post about Zapad co-written with my good colleague Obronny. In days leading...
Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 14 (An airborne exercise)
September 17, 2021 1:06 pm Comments Off on Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 14 (An airborne exercise)First things first, many thanks to Colonel (rtd) Ireneusz Kulesza for this help in analysing...
Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 13 (THE Map)
September 10, 2021 10:47 am Comments Off on Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 13 (THE Map)Guest post by Obronny. Yesterday the Belarusian news portal, Smartpress, released a news report with...
Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 12 (The Active Phase)
September 9, 2021 10:47 pm Comments Off on Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 12 (The Active Phase)The analysis of Zapad is moving to Michael Kofman’s blog. There we will provide daily...
Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 11 (Zapad in IMINT)
September 8, 2021 12:37 pm Comments Off on Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 11 (Zapad in IMINT)The third iteration of our ‘Zapad in IMINT’ series looks at three sites: The Baranovichi...
Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 10 (Reserve)
September 4, 2021 10:05 pm Comments Off on Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 10 (Reserve)As reservists were being called up in support of Zapad, between 18 and 28 August...
Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 9 (Logistics)
September 3, 2021 12:31 pm Comments Off on Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 9 (Logistics)Today’s post will discuss a logistics exercise, which occurred at the Vyborg port on 24...
Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 8 (Opposing forces)
August 24, 2021 1:26 pm Comments Off on Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 8 (Opposing forces)Today’s entry is based on Obronny’s Twitter post. Zapad-2017 and conditional enemies As you may...
Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 7 (Manpower)
August 23, 2021 12:17 pm Comments Off on Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 7 (Manpower)On 20 August the First Deputy Head of the Main Directorate of International Military Cooperation...
Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 6 (Zapad in IMINT)
August 20, 2021 8:46 am Comments Off on Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 6 (Zapad in IMINT)As information about unit movements in support of ‘Zapad’ is scarce, we have launched an...
Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 5 (Belarusian units in Russia)
August 18, 2021 9:21 am Comments Off on Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 5 (Belarusian units in Russia)“Tell me lies, tell me sweet little lies”, part 2 This will be a long...
Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 4 (Belarusian CDS presser)
August 5, 2021 4:45 pm Comments Off on Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 4 (Belarusian CDS presser)“Tell me lies, tell me sweet little lies” Today the Belarusian Chief of Defence Staff...
Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – ORBAT
August 2, 2021 10:33 am Comments Off on Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – ORBATThe purpose of this blog post is to provide an up-to-date order of battle data...
Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 3 (First deployments into Belarus)
July 26, 2021 10:00 am Comments Off on Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 3 (First deployments into Belarus)It is time for another update on Zapad preparations. (In all fairness, there were numerous...
IMINT Analysis – 39th Helicopter Regiment, Dzhankoy Air Base – Crimea
April 8, 2021 10:07 am Comments Off on IMINT Analysis – 39th Helicopter Regiment, Dzhankoy Air Base – CrimeaRussian 4th Air and Air Defence Army (HQ Rostov-on-Don) controls three aviation regiments in Crimea....
18th Motor Rifle Division – the Kaliningrad Oblast
February 16, 2021 12:24 pm Comments Off on 18th Motor Rifle Division – the Kaliningrad OblastA couple of weeks ago Izvestia (and then the CAST’s blog) reported on the composition...
Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 2 (Date confirmed)
January 19, 2021 11:17 am Comments Off on Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 2 (Date confirmed)On 18 January 2021, the Belarusian MoD reported that the joint Russo-Belarusian strategic-operational exercise, Zapad-2021,...
Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 1
October 30, 2020 2:53 pm Comments Off on Zapad-2021 Strategic-Operational exercise – part 1In August or September 2021, Russia and its ally, Belarus, will conduct its quadrennial Zapad-21...
Slavic Brotherhood – Day by day developments
September 28, 2020 11:06 pm Comments Off on Slavic Brotherhood – Day by day developmentsAlthough the Slavic Brotherhood ended on Friday, I thought it would be useful to prepare...
Endgame? Russia to deepen military co-operation with Belarus
September 16, 2020 12:55 pm Comments Off on Endgame? Russia to deepen military co-operation with BelarusFor many years Russia has been pushing Belarus to deepen military co-operation, even though both...
IMINT Analysis – Grodno Training Range
August 27, 2020 10:10 pm Comments Off on IMINT Analysis – Grodno Training RangeIn response to the growing threat from NATO and possible interference in Belarusian domestic affairs,...
Mobilisation of the Belarusian Armed Forces
August 25, 2020 1:28 pm Comments Off on Mobilisation of the Belarusian Armed ForcesAccording to Belarusian MoD press releases from recent days, the armed forces are going through...
Why Russia will not deploy into Belarus (for now)
August 19, 2020 12:08 pm Comments Off on Why Russia will not deploy into Belarus (for now)In the last few days, reports started surfacing on Twitter showing the alleged movement of...
Smerch from Kaliningrad
April 1, 2020 10:26 am Comments Off on Smerch from KaliningradOn 29th March the Russian daily newspaper, Izvestia, reported that the Kaliningrad-based 244th Artillery Brigade...
Kaliningrad’s 2S19M1 SPHs land in a tank regiment
March 5, 2020 1:18 pm Comments Off on Kaliningrad’s 2S19M1 SPHs land in a tank regimentDuring the May 2019 Victory Day parade in Kaliningrad, the locally-based armed forces showcased the...
2019 marked the lowest combat aircraft delivery rate to VKS since 2008.
January 19, 2020 1:09 pm Comments Off on 2019 marked the lowest combat aircraft delivery rate to VKS since 2008.Last year the Russian Air Force received just 14 combat aircraft to its frontline units,...